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1.国网英大国际控股集团有限公司,北京 100005
2.国网英大碳资产管理(上海)有限公司,上海 200434
3.北京中创碳投科技有限公司,北京 100007
张益兵(1976—),男,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事金融数字化、绿色金融、碳金融的研究(E-mail:yibing-zhang@sgcc.com.cn)。
朱朝勇(1985—),男,博士,高级工程师,主要从事绿色金融、碳金融的研究(E-mail:chaoyong-zhu@sgcc.com.cn)。
武美辰(1995—),女,硕士,工程师,主要从事双碳战略研究(E-mail:wu.meichen@sgcc3060.com.cn)。
唐进(1979—),男,博士,高级工程师,主要从事应对气候变化研究(通信作者)(E-mail:tangjin@sino-carbon.cn)。
纸质出版日期:2024-11-16,
收稿日期:2024-05-16,
修回日期:2024-08-11,
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张益兵, 朱朝勇, 武美辰, 陈楠, 李同燕, 马亚龙, 唐进. 基于全生命周期评价的变压器碳足迹研究与分析[J]. 高压电器, 2024,60(11):57-67.
ZHANG Yibing, ZHU Chaoyong, WU Meichen, CHEN Nan, LI Tongyan, MA Yalong, TANG Jin. Research and Analysis of Carbon Footprint of Transformer Based on Full Life Cycle Assessment. [J]. High Voltage Apparatus, 2024,60(11):57-67.
张益兵, 朱朝勇, 武美辰, 陈楠, 李同燕, 马亚龙, 唐进. 基于全生命周期评价的变压器碳足迹研究与分析[J]. 高压电器, 2024,60(11):57-67. DOI: 10.13296/j.1001-1609.hva.2024.11.007.
ZHANG Yibing, ZHU Chaoyong, WU Meichen, CHEN Nan, LI Tongyan, MA Yalong, TANG Jin. Research and Analysis of Carbon Footprint of Transformer Based on Full Life Cycle Assessment. [J]. High Voltage Apparatus, 2024,60(11):57-67. DOI: 10.13296/j.1001-1609.hva.2024.11.007.
全球温室气体排放已受到广泛关注,电力装备全生命周期碳排放不容忽视。文中以典型电力装备非晶油浸式配电变压器为研究对象,基于生命周期评价方法,建立包括原材料获取阶段、生产阶段、分销阶段、使用阶段和生命周期结束阶段的全生命周期碳足迹核算模型,分析电力结构、材料、能源、交通运输等对变压器碳足迹的贡献,并对各项清单数据开展敏感性分析和采用泰勒级数展开方法评估变压器碳足迹的不确定性。结果表明:单位功能非晶油浸变压器碳足迹为602 731 kgCO
2
e,其中使用阶段占比高达99.45%,该阶段碳足迹占比过高是由变压器功率损耗与电力结构决定,随电力结构清洁化发展,预测使用阶段碳足迹可降低约65.39%;对除使用阶段碳足迹结果分析可知原材料减量化或者采用低碳材料、提高电能利用效率以及更换电动汽车运输是降低变压器碳足迹的重点;敏感性分析得出材料循环/替代是变压器低碳设计的优先考量;碳足迹结果的不确定性以95%置信水平的相对几何标准偏差表示,即
GSD
为1.064,碳足迹结果可信。不确定性主要源于数据库碳足迹因子,这为模型数据质量进一步优化指明了方向。
Global greenhouse gas emissions have received widespread attention and the full ole life cycle carbon emissions of electric power equipment cannot be ignored. In this paper
the amorphous oil-immersed distribution transformer
a typical power equipment
is taken as the research object. Based on the life cycle assessment method
a full life cycle carbon footprint accounting model
including the stage of raw material acquisition
production
distribution
use and the end-of-life-cycle
is set up to analyze the contribution of the power structure
materials
energy
transportation to the carbon footprint of transformer. Moreover
a sensitivity analysis of the various inventory data is performed and the uncertainty of the carbon footprint of transformer is assessed by using the Taylor series expansion method. The results show that the carbon footprint of unit function amorphous oil-immersed transformer is 602 731 kgCO
2
e
of which the use stage accounts for as high as 99.45%. The high proportion of carbon footprint in this stage is determined by the transformer's power loss and power structure. With the clean development of power structure
it is p
redicted that the carbon footprint in the use stage can be reduced by about 65.39%. In addition to the analysis of the carbon footprint results in the use stage
it can be seen that the reduction of raw materials or the use of low carbon material
improvement of power utilization efficiency and replacement of electric vehicle transport are the key points to reduce the carbon footprint of the transformer. Moreover
it is concluded by sensitivity analysis that the recycling/substitution of materials is the priority for the low-carbon design of the transformer. The uncertainty of the carbon footprint results is expressed by the relative geometric standard deviation at 95% confidence level
i.e.
the
GSD
is 1.064
which is a credible result of the carbon footprint results. The uncertainty mainly originates from the database carbon footprint factor
which indicates the direction for further optimization of the model data quality.
变压器生命周期碳足迹电力结构敏感性分析不确定性分析
transformerLCAcarbon footprintelectricity mixsensitivity analysisuncertainty analysis
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